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CAULFIELD : MEMSIE STAKES - Aug 31th 2002
Track: GOOD - Weather: SHOWER OR TWO - Rail: OUT 9M
Likely Racing Pattern: No much in the way of rain in Melbourne this week (just wait for the downpour come Melbourne Cup week), so a genuine good track is expected. Backing up off last week's meeting when the rail was out 6M and they have been pretty big cards both weeks - maybe you might find the tracks tips towards the runners on under a lot of traffic.
Results : Runners on won most of the races, and those coming from well back filled most of the placings.

Betting Tip: Not a meeting we are overly keen on - most races have obvious picks or are just total guessing games, so probably not going to be a huge amount of value around or just plain too hard. We struggled to find decent Roughies and Ones To Risk this time around in fields with lots of unknowns. However, there are a couple of good solid each way bets which should keep us busy for the day.
Quaddie Attack: Probably some value in this weeks quaddie. Not many chances in the first leg and stick to the race fit lightly raced ones. Second leg is wide open and go as wide as you can afford as likely to be a value result. A couple of chances in the main race means there should be some value, and going away from the obvious choices for the value picks in the last leg. Sounds good !
Race 4 : 11,13    1st 13-KARAMAZOU W=$7.50
Race 5 : 7,10,11,14,15,16    2nd 15-FEEL THE NOISE W=$22.40
Race 6 : 8,9    1st 9-MAGICAL MISS W=$7.20
Race 7 : 7, 8,11,13     1st 11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE W=$11.60
= 2 x 6 x 2 x 4 = $48

Anchor: Probably an unusual leg to opt for an anchor but we are very keen on 13-KARAMAZOU in the first leg and should be good value for a one out.The anchor gets home, for the 2nd week in a row - this week at a super juicy $7.50

Results : YOUCH !!! That was close. Our roughie in the 2nd leg is just nosed out on the line, and we land the other 3 legs at good value - and the quaddie pays $11,000 !!! Just a nostril away from a $10,000 + collect. Very gettable, especially when we anchor the first leg and go wide in the 2nd as suggested.

Betting Portfolio ($100): Few we are keen on this week so doubling up
Best Win : Race 6 : 8-DASH FOR CASH $20 W
Best Each Way: Race 4 : 13-KARAMAZOU $20 EW 1st W=$7.50, P=$2.50 = $200
Best Each Way: Race 8 : 12-WOODWINA $15 EW
Best Rough : Race 2 : 13-FEISTY LASS $5EW

Spent : $100
Return : $200
Net : +$100

Results : Well, we said we were confident and doubled our money.

The Tips:

Race 1: 3-TARCOOLA DIAMOND, 8-RIBE, 10-MISS ROSEDALE
Race 2: 13-FEISTY LASS, 5-SOMETHING FUNNY, 2-LA SERENADE
Race 3: 1-BEL ESPRIT, 7-BEFORE TOO LONG, 4-OUR WEBSTER
Race 4: 13-KARAMAZOU, 11-GYPSY LAD, 16-TELFORD
Race 5: 10-PRINCE RUBITON, 14-PRINCESA, 15-FEEL THE NOISE
Race 6: 8-DASH FOR CASH, 9-MAGICAL MISS, 1-NORTHERLY
Race 7: 11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE, 8-DOT COM, 7-BIDAILY
Race 8: 12-WOODWINA, 2-LA LAGUNE, 10-SHE'S GOLDEN CLASS

RACE 1: N P HAUFFE HANDICAP 1410 M 3YOF
Tips:
3-TARCOOLA DIAMOND 3rd W=$9.20
8-RIBE
10-MISS ROSEDALE

Others: 4

Summary:
1-LUNA SCENE showed some ability winning at Werribee, but hardly beat much. Unbeaten in 2 starts so far, and races handy, but gets dumped with 58kgs here and usually there are a lot of improvers down in the weights in these races. Chance.
2-DEBBEN has been up for a while, and all runs have been on rain affected tracks - going to strike a firm track for the 1st time here. Does drop well back in the run and small fields are never good for that - passing.
3-TARCOOLA DIAMOND is undefeated in 2 starts so far and does have some wraps on her - looks to be the genuine thing and good chance in this.3rd W=$9.20
4-CENTELLA is 2nd up and up 400M and did not do much 1st up - Autumn form was good and probably wants the dry track and the extra distance - maybe a rough chance if she finds some form.
5-NUL AUTRE won with ease last start on a very wet track and small field- form before that was nothing special and maybe just relished the wet ground - probably want to see go around here back on a dry track. 1st W=$12.30
6-WISTTRAKOWE did not do anything 1st up and have to let run on that form.
7-ZANNA seems to be one on the improve and should be able to take a position form good barrier - chance.
8-RIBE was a good run 1st up along the inside which was not place to be and beaten by a smart one that day. Can race forward and should put herself into the finish here - go well.
9-MARCELLA is a maiden who has not shown all that much form and going to let run.
10-MISS ROSEDALE has been running on OK in all her runs and this is the first time she gets a dry track - extra distance and don't be surprised to see some improvement.
11-PURPLE ROAD is dropping back in distance into this, struck a bit of trouble last start and has been close up at all runs this time in - just not sure about dropping in distance into this - rough. 2nd W=$27.40
12-ROCKING RUBY is a maiden who has been well held in weaker races - no.

Hard to line all these up. Does not seem to be a huge amount of pace - 5-NUL AUTRE or 9-MARCELLA leading with 8-RIBE , 12-ROCKING RUBY sitting off them. 3-TARCOOLA DIAMOND will probably start well supported, so not much value, but looks the one to beat in this. 8-RIBE was a good run last start and will improve with the distance and 10-MISS ROSEDALE really has not done much wrong and gets in well with claim. Maybe throw 4-CENTELLA as the roughie if she returns to form.

Roughie: 4-CENTELLA

Results : Good effort from winner who kept finding. Follow up on TARCOOLA DIAMOND who was coming on well at the end of the race.
RACE 2: DALMORE ENGINEERING HANDICAP 1100 M 4Y0+ M
Tips:
13-FEISTY LASS
5-SOMETHING FUNNY
2-LA SERENADE

Others: 7, 3, 4

Pace:
Leaders : 7-SHIRLEY'S LUVENA, 10-TARATHEA

Handy : 2-LA SERENADE, 4-REACTIVE, 12-CADASTRAL, 13-FEISTY LASS

Back : 1-SPURN, 3-NAPPING, 5-SOMETHING FUNNY, 6-STOLEN HALO, 8-HERE FOR GLORY, 9-SPECIAL GRANGE, 11-VICKERS

Chances:
2-LA SERENADE was SCR last week - not sure why. Impressed with win last start. Has a very smart strike rate and could be one with a bit of ability on the way up. Claim means she is in this race well weighted. Firm track suits. Likely on pacer and has to be in the finish on strength of last win.
3-NAPPING is 3rd up and should be at peak now with 2 runs in. 1st up run was OK and then fair effort in open class last start - but to 4YO+M grade here. Usually pretty consistent when finds form and expect she will improve here and plus of 3kgs claim. Chance 1st W=$4.60
4-REACTIVE is yet to miss a place at 3 starts here. 1st up and has run OK in recent barrier trial. Won 1st up last time in. Watch the market fresh but has to rate a chance.
5-SOMETHING FUNNY is proving a little costly to follow as she is not getting to the post first. Yet to be unplaced this track and distance. Good run at Caulf 2 starts back when she got too far back and spotted winner too much ground. Last start she loomed up like she was going to win but did not finish it off over 1200M. Drop back to the 1100M here seems to suit cause she seems to be a bit of a query over further. Drops 1.5kgs on limit into this - and does meet the (2) 1.5kgs better for being beaten last start. Has a few things to suit in this and good chance.
13-FEISTY LASS is well drawn and lightly raced. She was trapped wide all the way in the worse part of the track last start and has been in the finish at each start this time in. This is a harder race, but she should get a good position in running from nice barrier here. Think she represents the value runner in this, especially at nice each way odds. Good chance.

Place:
7-SHIRLEY'S LUVENA is a speedy thing who we always rated a distance doubt past 1000M until she won at Caulfield at the end of her last preparation. Hit the lead about 200M out last time but died on her run. Might be worth a rough shot here - very light weight with claim and she should be able to get to the lead here - if she is not pressured she could cause a surprise on this (though don't get too cocky if she is leading at the 100M - that is when she is likely to stop). Key is whether the 10 pressures her or not. Rough 2nd W=$10.50

Sacking:
1-SPURN is a super honest mare who ran a place at all 6 starts last preparation. Absolutely loves Caulfield and get the dry track she needs here. Ran 2nd here 1st up last time in over 1100M. Paying for her consistency with big weight here and has not done much in 2 recent barrier trials. Going to let her go around today but will be getting back on again shortly.
6-STOLEN HALO is a WA mare 1st up here. Has won 1st up both times so far, but always prefer to let them run 1st time over here - watch the market to see if there is any money for her.
8-HERE FOR GLORY is a QLD mare with only a fair win strike rate. Had a freshen, but does drop a long way back and prefer to let her run (is yet to be unplaced 1st up though).
9-SPECIAL GRANGE looked lot a top liner this time last year, but did not finish her races off over the longer distances. Just the one run during the Autumn and just OK in recent barrier trial. Does have a lot of ability if right and probably want to keep on eye on the betting - seems pretty well weighted in this too. Just concerned with only the 1 run in the last year want to see her go around in this. 3rd W=$9.10
10-TARATHEA led them up last start and gave in quickly. Best form is on tracks with some give in them and bit hard to back her off a last 1st up. No
11-VICKERS is a strong finishing mare who saves her best form for slightly longer distances. No
12-CADASTRAL is 2nd up and did nothing 1st up at Sand. Sydney form is only fair and want to wait till she shows something down here.

Summary: Again lots of 1st uppers and hard to line these up. Pace should be pretty genuine with 7-SHIRLEY'S LUVENA, 10-TARATHEA going forward and 2-LA SERENADE, 4-REACTIVE, 12-CADASTRAL, 13-FEISTY LASS sitting off them. If for any reason 10-TARATHEA does not run, then would like to get on 7-SHIRLEY'S LUVENA with a soft run in front. But assuming that she does you would expect those sitting handy to be able to finish over the top of them. Gone for the value runner here at the bottom of the weights, 13-FEISTY LASS should sit off the pace and will look the winner at some stage of the straight - good each way bet hanging on for a place, 5-SOMETHING FUNNY is better suited here at Caulf and at the 1100M and 2-LA SERENADE has to be respected on last start win.

Roughie: 13-FEISTY LASS

Results : Strong win from REACTIVE 1st up.SHIRLEY'S LUVENA is not far from a win if she ever gets her own way in front. SPECIAL GRANGE might be heading back to some form.
RACE 3: SELECTA MCNEIL STAKES 1100 M 3YO GROUP 3
Tips:
1-BEL ESPRIT 1st W=$1.40
7-BEFORE TOO LONG 3rd W=$5.80
4-OUR WEBSTER

Others: -

Pace:
Leaders : 7-BEFORE TOO LONG

Handy : 1-BEL ESPRIT, 4-OUR WEBSTER, 6-RICARDO

Back : 2-YELL, 3-MAGIC BIRD, 5-COUSY

Chances:
1-BEL ESPRIT blew them away 1st up at MV and record is pretty much unfaultable - 3 wins at Caulf and 6 wins from 7 starts. 2nd up and up 100M but can't see him getting beaten here - small field and most of his opponents are 1st up so he is one run ahead of them. One to beat.1st W=$1.40
7-BEFORE TOO LONG is a very speedy Sydney filly who impressed with run last start at MV. She was pressured in lead and still kicked on well and it took Innovation Girl a fair bit of effort to get past her - and Innovation Girl blew them away here last week. Looks like she is going to measure up. There was a leaning towards leaders that day at MV, but still the run was very good. Gets a nice weight pull from the top weight for being a filly and looks the obvious danger. If she gets a soft run in the lead and there is any clinks in 1-BEL ESPRIT 2nd up then she will give him a run for his money. 3rd W=$5.80

Place:
2-YELL is 2nd up and up 100M after being well held by 1-BEL ESPRIT 1st up. The leaders were winning that day and it was an honest effort to fight on. Claimed cap of Innovation Girl here in the Autumn. Actually meets 1-BEL ESPRIT 2kgs worse off for being beaten 3L last start so very badly weighted here. Place best running on. 2nd W=$5.50
4-OUR WEBSTER showed some ability during the Autumn in the support races. Does like to take a sit and can sprint quickly when let go, so might represent the value here sitting behind the leaders. Has trialled OK recently and should show something fresh here.

Sacking:
3-MAGIC BIRD showed form over some distance during the Autumn. Likely to go well fresh, but meeting the top brass here and probably drifts back in small field and in race where the leaders will dictate. Passing.
5-COUSY had even form over Autumn and Winter but does not really look up to these.
6-RICARDO is still a maiden and only runs have been on wet tracks. Looks outclassed in this.

Summary: Not really a race to have a bet on, but should be a good race to watch. Small field means the leaders should dictate the pace - 7-BEFORE TOO LONG and 1-BEL ESPRIT and as they are the best horses in the field you would expect they are going to fight it out. 1-BEL ESPRIT is probably favoured by drawing outside the filly and he can sit off her - cause she is almost certain to lead - and apply the pressure when need be. They are the obvious picks, but really can't see much else bothering them. Maybe 4-OUR WEBSTER is the value runner for the multiples.

Results : Damm impressive win yet again.
RACE 4: M & S TRANSPORT HANDICAP 1410 M OPEN
Tips:
13-KARAMAZOU 1st W=$7.50
11-GYPSY LAD
16-TELFORD 2nd W=$5.40

Quinella = $23.20

Others: -

Pace:
Leaders : 5-PHILOTIMO

Handy : 3-ADOLESCENCE, 11-GYPSY LAD, 13-KARAMAZOU, 16-TELFORD, 15-STANZA BID

Back : 1-SANDMASON, 2-MR. CASANOVA, 4-HOMEWRECKER, 6-MR. PRUDENT, 9-RUM, 10-TOUCH THE GROOM, 12-ZAMARIN, 14-LIBERTY HALL

Chances:
11-GYPSY LAD is lightly raced and good effort in strong race last start coming off a 4 week break. Came along inside that day which was not the place to be. Does have race fitness on his side and meets a field of stayers here so has to rate a chance. Should push forward with not much pace in this and strong chance.
13-KARAMAZOU is race fit and well drawn. Lightly raced with good record and impressive win at Flem two start ago. Last start did not travel well down the Sandown hill and spotted leader too big a start on a wet track which he does not like. Gets the dry track here and extra bonus is the claim for apprentice. Very keen on this one and we might even get some each way odds. 1st W=$7.50
16-TELFORD is lightly raced and has a bit of a boom. Not meeting much in the way of opposition here and has trialled very well recently. Probably going to start well supported and not much value but would not have to do much to be in the finish against these.2nd W=$5.40

Place:
2-MR. CASANOVA is a smart performer who looked like he was going places during the early part of this year. Been given a good long break and should be a shot at some decent spring races. 2nd up here and up 200M off even 1st up run in QLD - that was 4 weeks ago and maybe just need this one as well. Lightly raced though should come to hand quickly. Place
7-THE A TRAIN is an improving stayer who maintains a good win strike rate. Well drawn and might do something fresh here. Place.
15-STANZA BID is second up and did not do much 1st up. Best in wet ground but not meeting much in the way of opposition here, has drawn well and capable of going forward. Maybe throw in as a rough place chance as should be in the right spot at the right time.

Sacking:
1-SANDMASON (GB) is a English stayer 1st up. Not raced for over a year coming off an injury and lumped with an awful lot of weight. Best chances seem to lie with a sudden shift in the Earth's mantle moving Caulfield and surrounds into the Northern Hemisphere. Passing.
3-ADOLESCENCE can be a bit hard to catch on his day. 1st up here, but did win 1st up last time in over 1400M. Probably drops back here 1st up and barrier 1 is not going to help in a big field. No.
4-HOMEWRECKER is a solid stayer who always gets well back in the run. Has run well 1st up before (placed 4 from 4 1st up), but is at best on wet tracks and prefer to let run in this.
5-PHILOTIMO mixes form awfully and not one you can back with confidence. Is race fit and will go forward here against a lot of drop back stayers. However, does rise considerably in weight from last win (up 3kgs on limit) and rarely strings two good runs together. Risking.
6-MR. PRUDENT always drops well back, often misses the start and usually takes a few runs to find best form each time in. Passing.
8-PENTASTIC showed a lot of improvement during the autumn in Sydney when was safely held by the top liners. Interesting to see what he does this time in. Another who drops well back and inside barrier in a big field means we will let him go around today.3rd W=$16.10
9-RUM is a straight out non winner and always sucks the unwary in by finishing on well. Seems to save best for wet tracks and not genuine enough for us.
10-TOUCH THE GROOM has drawn out wide. 2nd up and up 200M. Did show some form early in his preparation last spring, but did not do much during the Autumn. Another who will get well back and prefer over longer.
12-ZAMARIN is drawn out and just an average stayer who is never shown any form fresh. No.
14-LIBERTY HALL is a dry track stayer who is well drawn but has not shown any form for a long while. No

Summary: Just an even bunch of stayers so looking to the race fit lightly raced ones to fight this out. Most of the stayers are going to get well back, so barring any major surprises look to those that are going to race on pace. Not much in the way of pace with 5-PHILOTIMO leading and deciding about the 200M mark whether to give it an honest go today or not. Expecting 11-GYPSY LAD, 13-KARAMAZOU, 16-TELFORD, 15-STANZA BID to be not far off the lead and expecting the lightly raced runners to fight the race out between them. Very keen on the 13-KARAMAZOU here, on a dry track with race fitness and light weight against these. 11-GYPSY LAD is racing well and should be around the finish again and 16-TELFORD has untapped potential, but likely to start pretty short and not much value and. Keen to bet, especially if we can get something each way on the top pick.

Roughie: 15-STANZA BID SCR

Results : Great ride by Newitt on the winner who just would not take no for an answer and made sure he got the run. Not much between the first 5 home who were the first 5 all the way.
RACE 5: GB GALVANISING SPRINT 1100 M 4YO+M
Tips:
10-PRINCE RUBITON 3rd W=$3.70
14-PRINCESA
15-FEEL THE NOISE 2nd W=$22.40, P=$6.50

Others: 7, 16, 11

Pace:
Leaders : 15-FEEL THE NOISE

Handy : 2-BARKADA, 7-DANDY KID, 8-REGAL SHOT, 10-PRINCE RUBITON, 11-STRATEGIC IMAGE, 14-PRINCESA

Back : 1-WEASEL WILL, 3-LITTLE DOZER, 4-USTINOV, 5-CHATTANOOGA, 6-POINT DANGER, 9-CRYSTAL FINALE, 13-SPORTSBRAT, 17E-STERLING KNIGHT

Chances:
7-DANDY KID slaughtered them last start at MV on a track that was favouring front runners. Well known that he is best on rain affected ground and this track is likely to be fairly firm. Still he is race fit and in form and that is going to take him a long way here. Chance.
10-PRINCE RUBITON is well drawn and should be at peak now with 2 runs in. OK effort 1st up behind Rubitano here, and then led down inside last start which was chopping up and he does prefer it firm. Gets a firm track here and should get a nice run from barrier. Actually drops 1.5kgs on limit under this weight scale. Strong chance and ready to win.3rd W=$3.70
11-STRATEGIC IMAGE is lightly raced and well drawn. 1st up for over a year and no barrier trials on record, so probably need to watch for betting moves. Pretty capable sprinter this time last year and would win this on best form. Another unknown who has a winning chance if everything is right.
14-PRINCESA is a smart young sprinter who really showed some form last time in. Has won a recent barrier trial and is lightly raced so would expect would go well fresh. Good chance.
15-FEEL THE NOISE is drawn out a little, but does have a good Caulf record and has won fresh before. Does need a firm track to show best which he gets here and although he has yet to win past 1000M its usually because he has struck a wet track or a strong field. Probably pushes forward here from outside barrier to lead and think he is worth a good rough chance. Looks like there will be a bit of pressure up front though. 2nd W=$22.40, P=$6.50
16-LEWINSKY is another lightly raced on coming off a freshen up. Best form is on firm ground and does have the pace to push forward and take a position from an inside barrier. Yet another with some chance.

Place:
2-BARKADA improved greatly last time in to be one of the stars of the Melbourne Autumn. Lightly raced and you would expect he would go well fresh. Is lumped with a fair bit of weight here and barrier 1 is going to be a bit tricky - probably has to show some legs and push forward, else is going to get caught on rails behind a wall of horses. Is meeting some smart sprinters here and prefer place.
5-CHATTANOOGA is 1st up and well drawn and has won 3 from 6 fresh. Did not come up during QLD preparation. Does like Caulf (place 5 from 8), but does seem to leave best runs these days for tracks that have the edge off them. Rough only
9-CRYSTAL FINALE is 1st up for a new stable. Loves Caulfield (6 starts, 2 wins 3 placings) and yet to be unplaced this track and distance. Not particularly well weighted in this against carrying equal weights to some well performed sprinters. Probably worth watching the market fresh, but yet another who is hard to line up against these and must have a rough chance. 1st W=$37.90

Sacking:
1-WEASEL WILL is a top line miler 1st up who will need this run and find this too short. Had 2 recent barrier trials, but needs it longer.
3-LITTLE DOZER is a smart sprinter on his day, but usually does take a few runs to find form. Drawn out should not bother as does like to drop back and run on. Prefer to let him run and see how he comes up.
4-USTINOV mixed it with the top grade 3 year olds during the Spring and Autumn. Stayer who did run well fresh last time in over 1200M, but this is shorter again and probably get too far back in this. No
6-POINT DANGER has been damm unlucky not to pick up a decent sprint race (beaten 0.5L in the Salinger last year and 0.4L in the Newmarket). Drawn very wide but is a drop back and run on horse so that should not bother. Fresh form is poor though and does seem to take a run or two each time in to find best. Rough only.
8-REGAL SHOT made good ground 1st up and then was disappointing 2nd up when did push forward and was trapped wide. Drawn out, yet to win past 1000M and saves best form for wet track so hard to recommend here. No
12-CABLE disappointed last time in when tried over more ground. Best form is over these shorter distances and can show some speed, but does seem very poorly weighted here against some much more credentialled rivals. No
13-SPORTSBRAT is a Sydney sprinter well drawn. Been well held in last 2 starts against the top line Sydney horses and does have race fitness on these. Probably just prefer to see how he lines up first time down here.
17E-STERLING KNIGHT has been up most of winter and is stepping up in class here. Looks out of depth against these.

Summary: Very difficult to line these up cause most of them are 1st up and no idea how they are going to come back. Compressed weight scale as well means that some of the better performed sprinters are in this well off. Pace should be pretty genuine with 15-FEEL THE NOISE crossing to the lead, but there are plenty who can press forward or race handy so should be genuinely run. 10-PRINCE RUBITON looks the one that is ready to produce here after 2 runs in, gets a dry track and should get a good sit on the speed. 14-PRINCESA is the youngster on the way up and throwing 15-FEEL THE NOISE in as just get the feeling he is going to do something fresh. Wide wide open race though and probably going to get a value winner so go wide in the multiples. Not keen to have a serious bet with so many unknowns.

Roughie: 15-FEEL THE NOISE 2nd W=$22.40, P=$6.50

Results : Youch ! That was close - and we even rated CRYSTAL FINALE a chance - bit hard to have 1st up after so long though - although the runners on were winning. PRINCE RUBITON had every chance. Good runs from POINT DANGER and BARKADA and follow up on them.
RACE 6: SILVAN AUSTRALIA MEMSIE STAKES 1410 M GROUP 2
Tips:
8-DASH FOR CASH 3rd W=$5.50
9-MAGICAL MISS 1st W=$7.20
1-NORTHERLY

Others: 5

Pace:
Leaders : 8-DASH FOR CASH

Handy : 1-NORTHERLY, 3-LE ZAGALETTA, 4-TEARS ROYAL

Back : 2-FLAVOUR, 5-FIELDS OF OMAGH, 6-THE BIG ASK, 7-THE PUMPER, 9-MAGICAL MISS

Chances:
1-NORTHERLY is 2nd up and up 100M off being beaten 1st up under big weight in WA. Probably not that much of a surprise to see him beaten 1st up - he is usually a bit lazy in his first few runs in and he worked to the line well. Been doing some dressage work to rid him of a few bad habits, so hopefully we will get some nice parading to classic music in the mounting yard. Just can't be sure how long he is going to take to find form this time in but can't leave out here. 2nd up, Caulfield and 1400M records are all imposing so have to include.
5-FIELDS OF OMAGH is 2nd up after impressive win 1st up and could be the genuine article. Has won 7 in a row and must be due to break the run. Question is whether pace here is going to be quick enough to allow him to run on (the track could be favouring those running on anyway). 1st time at WFA, but could be something special. Strong chance.2nd W=$3.30
8-DASH FOR CASH has been a bit disappointing so far this time in. Even effort last week when the slow pace should have suited, he did loom up, but died on run. With 2 runs in should be at peak today and ready to show something. We have stayed off him so far this time in, but are keen to give him a go today in small field and on a dry track he should be right in the finish. Should not beat home 3-LE ZAGALETTA on weights from last week ,but just get the feeling he is about to hit his straps. Go well. 3rd W=$5.50
9-MAGICAL MISS is 2nd up and up 200M. Boom Cummings horse for the spring. Very impressive in winning the Oaks and eye catching run 1st up when had to switch ground and come hard down the outside rail. Meets 5-FIELDS OF OMAGH 1kgs better off for that run. Looks genuine class and up to WFA. Go well. 1st W=$7.20

Place:
3-LE ZAGALETTA has been racing very honestly, is 3rd up and should be at peak for this. Very capable, and does have the edge on race fitness on these. Just below the top liners but well placed to catch them off guard early in their preparations. Should be a pretty similar race to last week with not all that much pace on and he will get perfect sit again. This is probably a bit harder than last week though, and still a bit cautious about getting on him on dry tracks. Chance, but probably finds one better again.

Sacking:
2-FLAVOUR is an old timer 2nd up after doing nothing at all 1st up. Has been coping with these longer distances in more recent preparations, but have to wait till he shows some form - then again his form is about as good as Sports who won last week.
4-TEARS ROYAL is 3rd up and should be ready to show something here. 2 runs in have been even, showed a bit of speed 1st up under big weight and then not too far off them last week. Best known as a handicapper and not really proven at WFA, but probably not too badly in here as has been carrying big weights. Dry track suits, but probably just want to see him go around against these and see how he lines up. Maybe a rough place chance as he can sprint quicker than most of these.
6-THE BIG ASK has had a freshen off some very good winter form. Did not make field last week in Liston. Lightly raced and got a bit of a boom on him, but stepping up another grade here to WFA and looks out of depth for the time being.
7-THE PUMPER is 1st up is lightly raced and coming off a solid 8 month break. Winner of a recent barrier trial, but stepping up to WFA, and coming off a long break prefer to let run.

Summary: Small field and the pace should be even, without being over fast - probably 8-DASH FOR CASH leading with 1-NORTHERLY, 3-LE ZAGALETTA, 4-TEARS ROYAL sitting up handy or applying pressure. Always got to tend towards the on pacers in these small field WFA races. Although we sacked 8-DASH FOR CASH last week we are ready to get on today - dry track, Caulfield and 1400M are right up his alley and he should be ready to show his best after 2 runs in. Probably represents some value in this as well and might even get each way odds. 9-MAGICAL MISS and 5-FIELDS OF OMAGH both seem to be destined for greatness and will both be running on - a lot depends on how much pace is on and if the runners on are getting into the finish, and obviously 1-NORTHERLY is going to be close by. Keen to take the each way on 8-DASH FOR CASH who is one run ahead of his rivals and should get to dictate this race.

Results : Great race and not much between the 1st 4. MAGICAL MISS just too good (although the runners on were winning). Happy with DASH FOR CASH who was pressured in the lead and fought on well along inside which was not the best part of the track. NORTHERLY had to switch runs, but was not travelling well enough to win anyway - needed that outing.
RACE 7: AGRIPOWER HEATHERLIE HANDICAP 1700 M LISTED
Tips:
11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE 1st W=$11.60
8-DOT COM
7-BIDAILY

Others: 13

Pace:
Leaders : 5-ELKABAYO, 12-COURT OF JEWELS

Handy : 1-BUSH PADRE, 3-VAN WINKLE, 4-THE SECONDMORTGAGE, 7-BIDAILY, 11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE, 14-LEATHER LANE, 16-PALACE ARCHWAY

Back : 2-THONG CLASSIC, 6-BIG PAT, 8-DOT COM, 9-AS YOU DO, 10-BENARRIVO, 13-KAAPONIC, 15-OTTOMAN, 17E-LEVENDIZ

Chances:
7-BIDAILY is showing a stack of potential and showed a bit of class with running around from them last start. Up 2kgs on limit here, but did win by a clear margin last start. Meets the (1) -1.5kgs for 2.5L so should still have its measure. Does meet the (8) 3.5kgs worse off though. Won easily without being extended last start. Lightly raced and does seem to be one on the way up. 3rd up here and up 200M, but does seem to have found form quickly. Does like to race handy though and is drawn out wide. Will be there at the finish.
8-DOT COM is one we have a bit of time for. Drawn inside is probably a bit of a worry as will drop back, but there does seem to be genuine pace here and the runners on should be figuring by the end of the day - will have to hook out and get to the middle of the track though. Fair effort last start running on, when probably not suited dropping in distance. Gets a nice weight drop into this of 1kgs when most around him from that race are rising in weight. Rate a strong value chance in this.
11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE is well drawn and lightly weighted. Showed a serious touch of class to win going away from them 3 starts back at Caulfield, and then was not suited dropping back in distance at MV, and was just winding up at end of run at Sand. Looks like he really want this distance, has race fitness on most of these and should get a perfect run. Looks the one to beat. 1st W=$11.60
13-KAAPONIC is 3rd up and up 200M. Two runs this time in have been good in the country and strong win 2nd up and up in distance under big weight last start. Has failed a few times in town before, but think it is always worth watching those who have carried big weights in the country last start and performed well and dropped to light weights in the city. Put in as a value chance.

Place:
1-BUSH PADRE has been racing very consistently. Goes up 0.5kgs on limit here from last run and meets the (2) - 1kgs, the (7) +1.5kgs, the (8) -1.5kgs and the (5) -2.5kgs, so overall he is probably not all that well weighted against his rivals from last run and most of them have more improvement in them whereas he is at his peak already. Well drawn and can race handy so always puts himself into the finish - just get the feeling that one of the improvers from last time will have his measure in this. Place.
5-ELKABAYO is a leader drawn out and will have to cross, with a few who could pressure him, but can't imagine it is going to be too hard to do. Fitter for the 2 runs in and got caught up on fast pace last start so worth forgiving him that run. Expect some serious improvement here - just a bit of a distance query past 1600M. Gets a very nice 2kgs weight drop from last start into this. Put in as good rough chance if he gets some peace in front.
12-COURT OF JEWELS is another lightly raced one who run a fair race at MV when caught up on fast speed, dropped back and then had to wait to get into the clear - did get clear in plenty of time and only worked home fairly. Did have support that day so obviously has some ability. Light weight and will go forward here. Looks like there is going to be a bit of pressure up front again. First try over the longer distances, but with race fitness a light weight and a good position in running should be around about at the finish. Place.2nd W=$11.10

Sacking:
2-THONG CLASSIC is well drawn and should be fitter for the 2 runs in. Up 200M again here. 1st up run was excellent and always allow them a dud run 2nd up especially when rising in distance. Does have a stack of ability, but does seem to be a bit of a punters favourite and often starts under the odds. Drops 0.5gs on last run, but meeting quite a few who finished in front of him there. Will be running on, but maybe just allow him one more run and get on next time.
3-VAN WINKLE is a well performed NZer whose form is all on wet tracks. Always impossible to line these up 1st time over here, but drawn well and will go forward so should put himself into the finish. Been up a long time and now had the trip over here so probably want to see him go around first before putting any cash on. No
4-THE SECONDMORTGAGE is well drawn, but is 2nd up here and up 300M. Eye catching run 1st up when loomed up out wide but just died on run. Has gone well 2nd up before and should come to hand quickly as lightly raced, but loathe to get on them 2nd up and up in distance. Passing.
6-BIG PAT is a light of other days and still kicking myself for including him in our Melb Cup tips last year. Not shown any form for a very long time. No
9-AS YOU DO is a Caulfield specialist, but is way too hard to follow and did nothing here last week. No
10-BENARRIVO is a lightly raced one on the way up - impressed with 1st up win at Sandown on day when the runners on were dominating. 2nd up, up 400M and rising in class. Lightly raced so is probably on the improve, but you just know you are going to get under the odds cause its got that Cummings boom on it. Has raced on the pace in previous preparations, but did drop well back at Sandown, so presume that they are going to drop him back here again - and that means he will also need luck from barrier 1. Going to risk him in this as just represents poor value.3rd W=$6.90
14-LEATHER LANE is well drawn and should be fitter for 2 runs in, but has done nothing this time in and not shown much since that 10L win at start of the year. Wait for some form. Probably does go forward here from inside barrier.
15-OTTOMAN is drawn out, 2nd up and up 200M and looking for further. Later.
16-PALACE ARCHWAY is drawn out and races handy. Did not do much here last week and this is harder again so cannot have.
17E-LEVENDIZ has been well held in the country and looks outclassed here.

Summary: We have gone a bit away from the norm here - sure everyone is going to be raving 4-THE SECONDMORTGAGE and 10-BENARRIVO and they are class horses on the way up, but prefer to stick to those with race fitness and going to get value about them. Pace seems to be quite genuine here - 5-ELKABAYO and 12-COURT OF JEWELS will push forward and plenty who can pressure them as well - 3-VAN WINKLE, 7-BIDAILY, 14-LEATHER LANE, 16-PALACE ARCHWAY. Solid pace should play into the hands of those running on and we are going to go for 11-CHAIRMAN'S CHOICE here with the good barrier and he should show his best 1st time over some distance. 8-DOT COM will be running on well presuming he can get out from inside barrier and 7-BIDAILY who won with something in hand last time. 13-KAAPONIC should represent some value through the country form. Happy to have a bet, avoid the obvious and play with some value.

One to risk: 10-BENARRIVO #RED 3rd W=$6.90
Roughie: 8-DOT COM, 13-KAAPONIC

Results : Another great ride to land the money right on the line, weaving through the field. Strong form race, and you can follow COURT OF JEWELS (who fought on well on the inside), BENARRIVO and THE SECONDMORTGAGE (who will both be fitter for the run and not far off) and BIDAILY (who had to go to the lead early after hard on pace run out wide).
RACE 8: NYLEX ROTOMOULD HANDICAP 1410 M 4YO+M
Tips:
12-WOODWINA
2-LA LAGUNE
10-SHE'S GOLDEN CLASS

Others:7,5,13

Pace:
Leaders : 7-GRADUAL

Handy : 1-GOLD LOTTEY, 5-WYNDAM SPECIAL, 6-FLURRY'S GEM, 10-SHE'S GOLDEN CLASS, 12-WOODWINA

Back : 2-LA LAGUNE, 3-STORM FILLE, 4-CHESTNUT DREAM, 8-BLUE MARWINA, 9-DARK WINE, 11-RORY'S JANE, 14-TERRENORA, 15-VISAGE

Chances:
2-LA LAGUNE is well drawn and flew home down outside rail late in eye catching run 1st up. 2nd up and up 200M here. Yet to win past 1200M. Will probably drop well back, but they should be running on by the last race. Sure to start well supported and not sure she is going to represent value, but chance in this on best form.
7-GRADUAL is drawn very wide and a leader, so that is not going to assist. Saves best form for the 1400M and when she gets a soft run on the speed. Does not seem to be that much speed in this, so she should be able to work across - else is going to get caught out wide. Chance if race is run to suit her.
10-SHE'S GOLDEN CLASS is lightly raced and loves the 1400M. Disappointing run last start, but assume there was something wrong there and form before that was good. Chance
12-WOODWINA is fitter for 2 runs in and should be right at peak for this. Both runs in have been good and you would expect that she is ready to win. Honest effort in the top grade fillies races during the Autumn when she camped right on the speed each time and was not too far off. Expect that she can do the same here and she does look a very strong chance. Very keen

Place:
5-WYNDAM SPECIAL has never really lived up to her early form. Is well drawn and race fit against many of these who are 1st up. Does seem to be best on dry ground and this is going to be the firmest track she has struck for a while. Almost 2 years since last win, but put in as a rough chance.
13-ENA'S TREASURE was a good win last start when she struck trouble. This is a bit harder and does have a habit of dropping back and needing luck. Place preferred. 2nd W=$15.90

Sacking:
1-GOLD LOTTEY had a preparation from Feb to June last time in - did win the Vanity 1st up over 1400M last time in, but always a bit wary of how they are going to come up after such a long hard preparation (and no, we don't know the first thing about training racehorses). Has trialled OK recently, and does like to race forward, but just want to see how she comes up this time in.
3-STORM FILLE is a WA stayer 1st up. Performed well in top class races over there and has yet to be unplaced 1st up. Once again, just want to see them run over here and watch the market to see if she has some friends.
4-CHESTNUT DREAM is another WA stayer 1st up and the same applies. Definitely going to need the run 1st up.
6-FLURRY'S GEM is well drawn and surprised a bit at odds last start when did have the plus of the leaders bias. Yet to try past 1200Mand this does look a bit harder so prefer to see how she goes.
8-BLUE MARWINA is 1st up and yet to show much form fresh. Does drop back in the run and does seem to prefer a bit of give in the ground. Passing.
9-DARK WINE is just an average stayer 1st up and will need this run.
11-RORY'S JANE has done absolutely nothing at 2 starts this time in. Strong finisher who likes a fast pace and a dry track. Probably improves today but need to wait till she shows some form.
14-TERRENORA found form over the longer distances during the Winter. Had a 4 week freshen and you would expect she would be finishing on well - not sure if they are going to go fast enough for her in this, but if the runners on are winning then elevate her chances.3rd W=$27.30
15-VISAGE has not really shown much. Trapped out 3 wide all the way last start when ridden forward, but usually drops back. Not enough form for us to get on.1st W=$9.70

Summary: Not sure there is going to be a huge amount of speed here - 7-GRADUAL will try and cross from outside barrier and go forward and 5-WYNDAM SPECIAL, 6-FLURRY'S GEM, 12-WOODWINA should all be close by. Pretty keen on the 12-WOODWINA here, both runs in have been good, should peak today and has raced well in better class races. 2-LA LAGUNE has to go in on last run and 10-SHE'S GOLDEN CLASS if we forget the last run and look at previous form.

One to risk: 1-GOLD LOTTEY #RED 9th W=$5.20
Roughie: 12-WOODWINA

Results : Lots of disappointing runs by favoured runners back in the field - want to see them go around again before getting on.
 
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