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Turf Deli's Racing World Of Value

  Derby Day Preview


We continue our racing odyssey.

Derby Day is traditionally the best day on the racing calendar, as the racing purists will have you believe.  They'll be the ones quaffing champagne in the members car park next to the Rolls, whilst you are trying to get out in the last at Adelaide. Personally, I'll bet on any flea bitten nag in far flung Northern New South Wales so it don't mean didley squat to me.
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What it is however, is a chance for the racing clubs to make some quick revenue by hiking admission prices to $30 or so.  $30 for those who say 'Daaaarby' and $15 for those who say 'Dirby' - so practice your annunciation on the train to the course.

Our racing education paragraph of the week is all about Track Bias.
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Track Bias is when some grass is fast and some grass is slow.
Simple heh !!. Horses on the fast grass go fast and horses on the slow grass go slow.
Except when the horse is a slow horse to begin with.  Or the jockey does not know which grass is fast and which grass is slow. And when the wind is a head wind.  And Jupiter is in conjunction with Flemington.
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Seriously, there used to be a horse called Mr Cube which had a breathing problem and you never backed when he was racing down the Flemington Straight into a head wind.... Some much useful knowledge, so few brain cells....
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Derby Day has a nasty (but potentially very profitable) habit of favouring horses racing near the lead and on the rail cause that is where the fast grass is (for today anyway). Although considering the weather is fine this year this might not be as noticeable  (all this counts as course work towards my Masters In Punting by the way)
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Of course, during this week we are privileged to receive the autocued racing tips on TV from such racing celebrity illuminaries as Richard Wilkins or whatshername from E!. And astrology racing tips.  So for those of you who prefer that sort of thing here is the word from Madame Deli who specialises in reading the mystical world of bread crumbs left around the toaster.....
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Lucky Number : 4
Lucky Colour : Brown.

So applying them, Madame Deli suggest you back Brown Horses with 4 legs.  This is getting cornier by the minute, so moving onto the tips.

(groan freely)


  Derby Day Tips

Best of the day are :
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In line with what the commercial channels do, we will bet some imaginary money for charity. This way, you can see how much money can be made (i.e laugh hysterically as I wallow in the imaginary red and file for virtual bankruptcy).

This weeks charity is the Backyard Sunflower Restoration Fund (cause all our sunflowers have well and truly had it).
Imaginary $50 to invest.
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Tough day, but lets go :

Race 3 :     No 4 Rose O War.         *** Best Bet *** ..Bet to Win.  ($20 win)

Race 5 :     No 3 I'm A Ripper Each Way ($5 Each Way)
                     but back up with Win Bets on
                    No 4 My Sienna and No 11 Beat The Fade ($5 each)

and our roughie of the day

Race 7 :     No 7 Rogan Josh  Each Way ($5 Each Way)
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I know there are a full field plus emergencies going on the day, so to  save on those confusing mobile phone calls i tend to get between races here are my 1,2,3 handy betting tips for the whole day's program.

Race 1:
9 Chattanooga
11 D'Cash
14 Southern Crown

Race 2:
5 Prizefighter
1 Favelon
6 Harley

Race 3:
4 Rose O War
6 Brew
7 The Warrior

Race 4
3 Norcir
5 Nicola Lass
11 Savannah

Race 5
3. I'm A Ripper
4 My Sienna
11 Beat the fade

Race 6
4 Blackfriars
2 Freemason
3 Diatribe

Race 7
3 Northern Drake
7 Rogan Josh
1 Tie THe Knot

Race 8
7 Sports
16 Pharein
12 Cannyanna

Race 9
3 BlackBean
10 Nothern Song
12 Royal Voyage.

Happy racing
Turf Deli


Derby Day Results

And you thought I gloated last week.  There are these rare occasions where all this hard work pays off and you just sit back and can do no wrong. Derby Day was one of those days.    Just hope there are people out there who followed the gospel according to Turf Deli cause there were some mighty profits to be made.
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Was a day that will sit fondly in the Turf Deli photo album.
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Treat of the day was getting to watch the going ons at the protest hearing in the main race. Turf Deli cringed and groaned on the couch as jockey Childs trying to defend the horse we've backed by umming and aahhing and hiding his face in his hands (someone needs to send him a copy of Alan Pearse's Body Language book)...you would not want him to be defending you on 1st degree murder or anything.  Anyway, the video never lies so we were safe. And loved it when he started hanging it on the protesting jockey Shane Dye in his acceptance speech - that's what racing needs - some deep set rivalaries and jive dissing talk like the World Wrestling Federation --- maybe "You can shove that whip up your cotton pickin' pretty white boy ass" or something like that.
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Apologies for the lack of banter in this email - but got some serious facts and figures to present and interest rates are about to rise in these troubled economic times.

Here are a few stats for you : (gloat gloat gloat)

From the 9 races where I tipped my 1,2,3, we have included the winner of 8 races. (gloat gloat gloat) 7 of these winners were in my top 2 picks. (gloat gloat gloat)

The only race we missed out on was the first and our poor horse Chattanoogna got
squished and squashed over all the place.

Which means for an $8 outlay you could have picked up $5700 in the Quadrella (winners of races 5,6,7,8) (very big gloat)

(easy in hindsight ain't it ...).  Apologies to all those who were in the Quaddie Club last year, but think it was cramping my style..

or for $32 the straight six (races 4,5,6,7,8,9) was there in my top two picks for the taking.

 Not even I was clever enough to go this far, so there were no winning tickets.  Means there is $70,000 sitting in a jackpot pool for the next time (d'oh - but not complaning)

OK - look and weep (or grin )

Recommended bets : (imaginary $50)
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Best Bet :     Rose O War. == Ran 2nd, just bobbed out in a photo finish

Other Bet :     Each Way : I'm A Ripper - no go
                        Win : Beat the Fade - no go
                        Win: My Siena - it sure did. 1st at $12.30 and $3.60 the places (imaginary collect of  $61.50)

Best Roughie : Rogan Josh.
                        Roughie no more and now one of the favs forthe Melb Cup.
                        1st at $16.10 and $3.60 the place (imaginary collect of $98.50)

So our $50  imaginary bets won an imaginary return of $160 for a imaginary $110 profit. (hey thats just like the stock market --- cool.)

Here are the facts'n'figures for the whole day
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Race 1:
9 Chattanooga
11 D'Cash
14 Southern Crown

Race 2:
5 Prizefighter
1 Favelon  -- 1st ($1.80,$1.10)
6 Harley --- SCR

Race 3:
4 Rose O War -- 2nd ($1.60)
6 Brew
7 The Warrior  -- 1st ($16.40, $4.10)

Race 4
3 Norcir ------- 1st ($5.30, $2.30)
5 Nicola Lass
11 Savannah

Race 5
3. I'm A Ripper
4 My Sienna ---- 1st ($12.30, $3.60)
11 Beat the fade

Race 6
4 Blackfriars ----- 1st ($4.10, $1.70)
2 Freemason
3 Diatribe -------- 3rd ($2.20)

Race 7
3 Northern Drake --- SCR
7 Rogan Josh       ---- 1st ($16.10, $3.60)
1 Tie THe Knot

Race 8
7 Sports
16 Pharein   -------- 1st ($6.20, $2.50)
12 Cannyanna ------- 3rd ($4.00)

Race 9
3 BlackBean ------ 1st ($4.70, $1.80)
10 Nothern Song --- 3rd ($3.00)
12 Royal Voyage.

till they next go round'
Turf Deli

 
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